50 Pence — PolyMarket Trader / Guest (1 trade idea)

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Date Ticker Direction Thesis Source
Feb 06, 2026 SHORT 50 Pence has a $300,000 position betting "NO" on Judy Shelton becoming the next Fed Chair. He notes she has become a "meme coin" on Twitter, driving irrational retail volume into the "Yes" side. Smart money vs. Retail mania. The professional prediction market trader identifies a disconnect between social media hype (Shelton tweeting about her own odds) and political reality. The high volume on her "Yes" contract provides liquidity to fade the move. SHORT (Bet NO). Unexpected political appointment by the administration. Thread Guy
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